Tuesday, 13 June 2017

Staines Flats Outperform Staines Property Market Average by 32%


 

According to the Land Registry's latest House Price Index for Staines and the surrounding locality, the value of apartments/flats is rising at a faster rate than terraced/town houses, semi-detached properties and even detached property.

Values of apartments in Staines have increased by 5.18% over the past year, which is proportionally 32% more than the Staines average rise of 3.91%. The last time flats/apartments in Staines outperformed all the other types of property, by such a significant difference, was back in the autumn of 2003. For comparison, the other property types performed as follows ..

·         Detached homes rose by 3.68%

·         Semi-detached homes rose by 3.36%

·         Terraced/Town-Houses rose by 3.23%

This moderately increasing rate of property value growth is nice to see – but no one should confuse it with a strong and vigorous healthy Staines property market. Instead, it is somewhat an indicator of the long-lasting lack of property on the market. In fact, I have spoken about the lack of homes for sale in Staines on a number of occasions in my Staines Property Blog and whilst it isn’t as bad as it was 12 months ago – choice is quite limited for buyers.

 
The average property value in Staines now stands at £430,300

 
When split down into property types :

 
·         Staines Apartments at £273,400

·         Staines Detached at £701,800

·         Staines Semi-Detached at £427,600

·         Staines Terraced/Town-House at £366,200

 

So why have Staines apartments performed so well, and is it just a Staines thing? When I scrutinised the figures for the rest of the UK, it appears that apartments are pacemakers in the clear majority of the country. Of the 379 local authority areas in the UK, the value of apartments is rising faster than detached, semi-detached and terraced houses in 320 of them.
 
So, should Staines apartment owners be getting out the champagne? Well, I would keep it on ice as the Land Registry figures are notorious for short term fluctuations. It’s hard to have faith in the fact that Staines house values rose rapidly last month given that, in the last six months, the Land Registry has frequently made downward revisions to their first published House Price Index figures.
 
Thankfully, the bigger picture from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) stated that home buying activity in April was up 2% over the same month in 2016 – not bad really. The CML stated first time buyer’s levels of affordability was being squeezed and that the average amount borrowed by those first-time buyers dropped slightly in April, but the overall amount borrowed (by all buyers) was an impressive 12% higher than the same month in 2016.

So, what next for the Staines Property market? I believe the uplift in the values of apartments is a short-term blip. The real issue is that wage growth might not keep up with inflation as the effects of 2016 exchange rate sucks in inflation (meaning real wage growth stagnates). This will mean buyer demand growth will be curtailed and with property values already so high, I firmly believe a renewed increase in house price growth is unlikely.

I do think we are starting to return to the housing market we saw in the mid 1990’s:  steady demand, steady supply – nothing silly when it comes to house price growth.  No bad thing, in my view.

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